Summary
Background The epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 in children is an important consideration for control measures. To inform the safe re-opening of Victorian schools and early childhood education and care (ECEC) in late 2020, a detailed analysis of local data was undertaken.
Methods Data on all Victorian SARS-CoV-2 confirmed cases, their close contacts, and ECEC/school events from the first case in Victoria to the end of the third school term (25/01/2020 − 18/09/2020) were analysed. We compared temporal and geographic trends in cases linked to ECEC/school events and community cases; and describe events with onward transmission by age of first case, and public health actions.
Findings Victoria recorded 20,049 SARS-CoV-2 cases during the study period. In total, 1,691 cases and 18,423 contacts were linked to 339 events in ECEC/schools. Many (n=224, 66¢1%) events had no evidence of onward transmission, and most (96¢5%) involved <10 cases. Onward transmission was more common when the first case was older: when first case was aged 0-5 years, 14¢1% events involved additional cases, compared to 30¢5% (6-12 years), 33¢3% (13-15 years), 42¢9% (16-18 years), and 39¢1% when the first case was an adult. ECEC/schools were closed within a median of one day (IQR 0-2) from laboratory notification of the first case.
Interpretation Mitigation measures and rapid responses prevented most SARS-CoV-2 cases in ECEC/schools from becoming outbreaks in Victoria in 2020. As new variants emerge and vaccination coverage increases, ECEC/school mitigation strategies should be tailored to local community transmission and educational level.